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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+7.31vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+5.18vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+6.19vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.03+3.32vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+1.23vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.82+6.91vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.50+7.38vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.47+1.53vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.59+0.15vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.35+0.35vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.44-0.94vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+1.37vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.74-4.08vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.55-4.63vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.30-4.41vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.27-5.28vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.05-5.48vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.10-6.40vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin-0.26-0.38vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-9.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.18Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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7.32Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.23Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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12.91Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.38Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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9.15Dartmouth College2.590.0%1st Place
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10.35College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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10.06Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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13.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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8.92Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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10.59Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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11.52Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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18.62University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Blake Behrens | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 3.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 18.5% | 7.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Chase Decker | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Peter Busch | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 5.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 0.8% |
| John Eastman | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 72.7% |
| Landon Cormie | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.