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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+5.36vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+5.44vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.44+7.22vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.59+5.37vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+5.52vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.05+1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.47+3.16vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.79+0.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.55+0.38vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.30+0.72vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.74-2.30vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-2.58vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.35-2.16vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.77-1.04vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.10-3.48vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.82-3.15vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.27-6.32vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-7.49vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College1.50-4.93vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin-0.26-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.44Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.22Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.37Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Pennsylvania2.470.0%1st Place
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8.2Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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10.72Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.7Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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10.84College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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12.96Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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12.85Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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10.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
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14.07Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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18.71University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Chase Decker | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Reade Decker | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Christian Ebbin | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Jack Flores | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 4.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| Gilda Dondona | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 4.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Robert Ulmer | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 6.8% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 74.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.