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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.47+8.83vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.59+7.37vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.74+5.71vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+2.36vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+5.51vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.05+1.41vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+2.45vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+2.18vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.35+1.31vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.55-0.47vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.77+2.08vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10-0.21vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.44-2.54vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin-0.26+4.71vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.03-7.60vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.27-5.20vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.30-6.45vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.79-9.48vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College1.50-4.98vs Predicted
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20Cornell University1.82-7.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.83University of Pennsylvania2.470.0%1st Place
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9.37Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.71Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.36Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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10.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
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10.31College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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13.08Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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10.46Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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18.71University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.4Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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10.55Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.52Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
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14.02Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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13.0Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Chase Decker | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Christian Ebbin | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Jack Flores | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 4.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 1.6% |
| Peter Busch | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 73.3% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Reade Decker | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 19.4% | 6.7% |
| Gilda Dondona | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.