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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+7.89vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.74+6.35vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.44+6.93vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.59+5.08vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.27+5.50vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.79+2.21vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77+6.07vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.55+1.03vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.55+0.20vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.03-2.81vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.91+1.18vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.35-1.59vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.29-6.56vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.47-4.45vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.30-4.54vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-5.73vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-7.05vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.50-4.03vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin-0.26-0.45vs Predicted
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20Cornell University1.30-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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8.35Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.93Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.08Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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8.21Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
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13.07Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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9.2Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.19Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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12.18University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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10.41College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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6.44Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Pennsylvania2.470.0%1st Place
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10.46Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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9.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
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13.97Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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18.55University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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14.79Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Christian Ebbin | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Chase Decker | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Reade Decker | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Flores | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 3.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Martins Atilla | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 2.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Robert Ulmer | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Henry Scholz | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 7.6% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 9.4% | 70.6% |
| Pilar Cundey | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 20.9% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.