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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+5.09vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.59+7.01vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.44+6.94vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.55+5.24vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.55+4.20vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.35+4.31vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.74+1.69vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.79-0.05vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.50vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.03-2.85vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.77+1.76vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-1.43vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-3.76vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.50-0.16vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-4.87vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.30-5.65vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.27-6.62vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.30-3.25vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin-0.26-0.44vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island1.91-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.01Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.94Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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9.2Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.31College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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8.69Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.95Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Pennsylvania2.470.0%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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12.76Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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13.84Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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10.35Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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14.75Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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18.56University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Peter Busch | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Martins Atilla | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Christian Ebbin | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Reade Decker | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Flores | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 3.4% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Henry Scholz | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 6.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Pilar Cundey | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 20.3% | 11.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 70.1% |
| Henry Lee | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.