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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.80+6.29vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+2.33vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.67+1.49vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.59+3.78vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.26+0.60vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.86+1.00vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.69+0.47vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.68-0.57vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+2.43vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.65-2.11vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.77-0.01vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-2.96vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.35-0.83vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.19-1.43vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering0.52-3.27vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.39-1.38vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.62-1.77vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.20-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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4.33Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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4.49Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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7.78Dartmouth College1.590.1%1st Place
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5.6Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.43Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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11.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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10.99Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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12.17University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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12.57University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
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11.73Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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14.62Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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15.23University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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13.94Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 14.2% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 14.7% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Sheppard | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jed Lory | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sam Harris | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 6.0% |
| William Denker | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 7.9% |
| James Jagielski | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 4.0% |
| John O'Connell | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 25.4% |
| Ryan Treat | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 35.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.