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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.86+6.13vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.67+2.49vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.68+4.69vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.73+0.21vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.26+0.60vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.69+1.51vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.35+5.33vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.52+3.65vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.33vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.80-2.66vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.65-3.26vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.77-0.88vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-1.67vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.59-6.38vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.19-2.22vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.20-1.88vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.62-1.75vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-0.39-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.49Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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7.69Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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4.21Brown University2.730.2%1st Place
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5.6Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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12.33University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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11.65Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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7.74Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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11.12Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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11.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College1.590.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
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14.12Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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15.25University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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14.42Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Lory | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 13.4% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Brock | 18.5% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 6.4% |
| James Jagielski | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Connor McHugh | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Ben Sheppard | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Denker | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 8.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 18.9% |
| Ryan Treat | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 35.2% |
| John O'Connell | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.