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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.80+6.29vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+7.01vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.69+4.64vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.26+1.50vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.62+9.99vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.65+1.64vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+4.47vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.86-1.13vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.68-1.58vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.73-5.64vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.67-6.54vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.59-3.89vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72-2.10vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.52-2.48vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.19-2.18vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.35-3.56vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.20-2.86vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-0.39-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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9.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.5Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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14.99University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.64Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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11.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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6.87Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.42Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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4.36Brown University2.730.2%1st Place
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4.46Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College1.590.1%1st Place
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10.9Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.52Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
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12.44University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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14.14Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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14.43Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Gus Macaulay | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Treat | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 32.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Jed Lory | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 16.5% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 16.7% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Wiegand | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| James Jagielski | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| William Denker | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 7.5% |
| Sam Harris | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 6.5% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 19.3% |
| John O'Connell | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.