← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.26+4.77vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+7.02vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.69+4.65vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.86+2.83vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College1.59+2.77vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.67-1.60vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.80+0.09vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+3.32vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.68-1.53vs Predicted
-
10Boston University0.72+1.19vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College1.65-3.24vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.19+1.12vs Predicted
-
13Olin College of Engineering0.52-1.48vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.73-9.86vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire0.35-2.71vs Predicted
-
16Bentley University-0.39-1.40vs Predicted
-
17University of Connecticut-0.62-1.80vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University-0.20-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.77Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
-
9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
-
7.65Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
-
6.83Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
-
7.77Dartmouth College1.590.1%1st Place
-
4.4Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
-
7.09Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
-
11.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
-
7.47Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
-
11.19Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
7.76Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
-
13.12University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
-
11.52Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
-
4.14Brown University2.730.2%1st Place
-
12.29University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
-
14.6Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
-
15.2University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
-
13.88Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Gus Macaulay | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jed Lory | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 15.4% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| William Denker | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 9.8% |
| James Jagielski | 2.7% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| James Brock | 20.5% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
| John O'Connell | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 24.4% |
| Ryan Treat | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 19.0% | 34.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.