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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.81vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.54vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+3.29vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-0.70vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University0.45+5.78vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.65-1.23vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.50+0.83vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.24+0.34vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.01-2.72vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.23+2.51vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College0.49-0.42vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.72-1.98vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.07-4.09vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College0.20-2.66vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-0.48-1.82vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.22-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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3.54University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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6.29Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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3.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.2%1st Place
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10.78Rutgers University0.450.0%1st Place
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4.77Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.83Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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8.34Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.28Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.51Monmouth University-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.58Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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10.02Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.91Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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11.34Ocean County College0.200.0%1st Place
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13.18Penn State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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14.53University of Delaware-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Prieto | 18.2% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 20.9% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 22.8% | 19.8% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edgar Girtain | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 2.2% |
| Dan Ricker | 11.6% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Edward Titcomb | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Marciano | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 19.4% | 18.5% | 13.6% |
| Autumn Hoover | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Natalie Ross | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 5.7% |
| Brian Hulse | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 24.9% | 20.0% |
| Devon Gonzalez | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.