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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.86+6.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.69+5.61vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.59+4.98vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.65+3.49vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.73-0.79vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.35+6.27vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.77+3.74vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.26-2.56vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.68-1.63vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+1.63vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.67-6.57vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.80-4.64vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.19-0.42vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.52-2.60vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-6.37vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.62-0.94vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.39-2.52vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.77-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College1.590.1%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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4.21Brown University2.730.2%1st Place
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12.27University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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10.74Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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5.44Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.37Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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11.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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4.43Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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12.58University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
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11.4Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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8.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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15.06University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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14.48Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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15.2Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Lory | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gus Macaulay | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 20.6% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Peter Joslin | 17.3% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Denker | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 6.3% |
| James Jagielski | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Treat | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 21.3% | 28.2% |
| John O'Connell | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 20.6% |
| Emilia Perriera | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 20.5% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.