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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.68+6.70vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.69+5.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.73+1.36vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.65+3.48vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.67-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.19+6.71vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.26-1.42vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.80-1.05vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.35+3.20vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.82vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+0.47vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.62+3.20vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.86-6.22vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.77-3.51vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.59-7.23vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-7.21vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.39-2.52vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.77-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University1.690.0%1st Place
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4.36Brown University2.730.2%1st Place
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7.48Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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4.39Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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12.71University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
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5.58Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.95Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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12.2University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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11.82Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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11.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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15.2University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.78Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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10.49Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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7.77Dartmouth College1.590.1%1st Place
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8.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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14.48Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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15.18Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 15.7% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 19.8% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Denker | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 6.8% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 3.1% |
| James Jagielski | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Treat | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 19.0% | 32.0% |
| Jed Lory | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John O'Connell | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 23.3% | 17.6% |
| Emilia Perriera | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.