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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.69+7.13vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.59+6.49vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.73+1.59vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.72+7.84vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.67-0.10vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+1.25vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+2.43vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.26-1.83vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.68-1.05vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.65-1.84vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.80-3.41vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-4.26vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.52-0.57vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.62+2.22vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.35-1.95vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-3.75vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.20-2.10vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.19-4.31vs Predicted
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19Bentley University-0.39-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Tufts University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College1.590.1%1st Place
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4.59Brown University2.730.2%1st Place
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11.84Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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4.9Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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6.17Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.95Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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8.16Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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7.59Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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7.74Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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12.43Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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16.22University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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13.05University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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12.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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14.9Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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13.69University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
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15.21Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus Macaulay | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 17.1% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Peter Joslin | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jed Lory | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Ryan Treat | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 20.0% | 34.9% |
| Sam Harris | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 7.0% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 19.2% |
| William Denker | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% |
| John O'Connell | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 19.0% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.