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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+3.54vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.26+4.06vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+4.36vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+5.47vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.59+3.61vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.67-1.28vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.72+4.83vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.80-0.12vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.69-1.10vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.19+3.63vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.86-3.56vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering0.52+0.92vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-0.96vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.68-5.84vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.65-6.83vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.35-2.95vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.20-2.15vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.62-1.81vs Predicted
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19Bentley University-0.39-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54Brown University2.730.2%1st Place
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6.06Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College1.590.0%1st Place
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4.72Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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11.83Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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13.63University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
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7.44Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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12.92Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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12.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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8.16Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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8.17Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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13.05University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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14.85Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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16.19University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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15.18Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Brock | 15.5% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ben Sheppard | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 17.0% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Connor McHugh | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gus Macaulay | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| William Denker | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| Jed Lory | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Sam Monaghan | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Harris | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 6.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 19.8% |
| Ryan Treat | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 34.0% |
| John O'Connell | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.