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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+3.60vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+5.35vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.69+5.17vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.26+2.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+4.67vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.80+1.61vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.68+1.16vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.52+4.73vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.86-1.67vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.59-1.72vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.39+4.51vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+0.63vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.35-0.08vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.67-9.15vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.65-6.86vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.77-4.47vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.19-3.38vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.20-2.97vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut-0.62-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Brown University2.730.2%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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9.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.61Roger Williams University1.800.1%1st Place
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8.16Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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12.73Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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7.33Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College1.590.1%1st Place
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15.51Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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12.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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12.92University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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4.85Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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8.14Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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11.53Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
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15.03Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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15.85University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Brock | 15.9% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Connor McHugh | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| James Jagielski | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
| Jed Lory | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John O'Connell | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 22.9% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| Sam Harris | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 14.7% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| William Denker | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 18.7% |
| Ryan Treat | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 18.5% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.