← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+4.47vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.23+2.63vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40+4.49vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.82+2.01vs Predicted
-
5Boston University0.35+6.32vs Predicted
-
6Boston College1.30+1.85vs Predicted
-
7Bentley University-1.06+9.60vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.48-1.06vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89+0.24vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University0.78-0.22vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College0.45+0.10vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College1.39-4.42vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.14-7.81vs Predicted
-
14Brown University0.27-2.24vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University-0.82+0.46vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire-0.26-2.33vs Predicted
-
17Olin College of Engineering-1.07-0.75vs Predicted
-
18University of Connecticut-0.92-2.03vs Predicted
-
19University of Vermont-0.37-4.94vs Predicted
-
20Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
-
4.63Roger Williams University2.230.2%1st Place
-
7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
-
6.01Roger Williams University1.820.1%1st Place
-
11.32Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
-
7.85Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
-
16.6Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
-
6.94Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
-
9.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
-
9.78Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
-
11.1Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
-
7.58Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
-
5.19Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
-
11.76Brown University0.270.0%1st Place
-
15.46Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
-
13.67University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
-
16.25Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
-
15.97University of Connecticut-0.920.0%1st Place
-
14.06University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
-
13.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Yu | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 16.3% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Straden | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 25.4% |
| Courtland Doyle | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Shea McGrath | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte West | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 12.1% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 15.7% |
| James Frady | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 22.0% |
| Alyson Liu | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 19.1% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.