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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.82+4.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.48+5.14vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+2.50vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.14+0.97vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.30+2.75vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.23-1.26vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.78+3.03vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89+1.17vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.35+2.36vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.45+0.98vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.39-3.44vs Predicted
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12Brown University0.27-0.12vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40-5.33vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.82+1.61vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.92+0.79vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.37-1.95vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-3.55vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-1.06-1.66vs Predicted
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19University of New Hampshire-0.26-5.30vs Predicted
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20Olin College of Engineering-1.07-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Roger Williams University1.820.1%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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4.97Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
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4.74Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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10.03Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
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11.36Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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10.98Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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7.56Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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11.88Brown University0.270.0%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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15.61Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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15.79University of Connecticut-0.920.0%1st Place
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14.05University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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13.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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16.34Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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13.7University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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16.38Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Herman | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 13.4% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 14.7% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Buck Rathbun | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte West | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Conrad Straden | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 16.5% |
| Alyson Liu | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 18.3% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Brett Tardie | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 22.9% |
| James Frady | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.