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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.49+9.54vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.98vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+2.44vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-1.76vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.65-1.28vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.24+1.52vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.23+4.39vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.72+0.94vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.01-3.67vs Predicted
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11Princeton University1.50-3.31vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.07-3.05vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-0.48+0.09vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University0.45-3.33vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-1.22-0.52vs Predicted
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16Ocean County College0.20-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.54Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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3.53University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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3.98U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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6.44Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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3.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.2%1st Place
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4.72Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.52Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.39Monmouth University-0.230.0%1st Place
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9.94Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.33Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.69Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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8.95Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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13.09Penn State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.67Rutgers University0.450.0%1st Place
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14.48University of Delaware-1.220.0%1st Place
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11.5Ocean County College0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Autumn Hoover | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 20.6% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 17.2% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 22.9% | 21.0% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dan Ricker | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Marciano | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 12.2% |
| Jason Sinclair | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Edward Titcomb | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Ross | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Brian Hulse | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 24.4% | 19.7% |
| Edgar Girtain | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Devon Gonzalez | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 54.7% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.