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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.82+4.97vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.39+5.41vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.30+4.87vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+1.43vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.14-0.10vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.78+3.76vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+0.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.48-1.13vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.35+2.29vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-0.69vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.37+2.98vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-1.06+4.26vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.23-8.14vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.27-2.40vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.45-4.17vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.92-0.40vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.26-3.59vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-1.07-1.85vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University-1.66-1.45vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Roger Williams University1.820.1%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
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5.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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4.9Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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9.76Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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11.29Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
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13.98University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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16.26Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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4.86Roger Williams University2.230.2%1st Place
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11.6Brown University0.270.0%1st Place
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10.83Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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15.6University of Connecticut-0.920.0%1st Place
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13.41University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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16.15Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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17.55Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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13.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Herman | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 14.4% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Karya Basaraner | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 4.3% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 21.8% | 18.5% |
| Tristan McDonald | 15.5% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Shea McGrath | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Alyson Liu | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 13.0% |
| James Frady | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Benjamin Ely | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 18.4% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 18.8% | 38.8% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.