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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.82+4.88vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.23+2.64vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+2.55vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+3.20vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.48+2.01vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-1.66+11.64vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.30+1.00vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.14-3.14vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.06+7.14vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.35+1.33vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-1.69vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.39-4.48vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.27-1.10vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College0.45-3.09vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-1.07+1.00vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.78-6.46vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.92-1.41vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-0.26-4.43vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-5.68vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont-0.37-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88Roger Williams University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.64Roger Williams University2.230.2%1st Place
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5.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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7.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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17.64Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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8.0Boston College1.300.0%1st Place
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4.86Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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16.14Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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11.33Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.1%1st Place
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7.52Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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11.9Brown University0.270.0%1st Place
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10.91Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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16.0Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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15.59University of Connecticut-0.920.0%1st Place
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13.57University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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13.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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14.09University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Herman | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 15.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 41.5% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 14.4% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 16.9% |
| Buck Rathbun | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte West | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 18.9% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alyson Liu | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 11.3% |
| James Frady | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.