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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.14+3.51vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.35+8.71vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.23+1.27vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.48+2.54vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.30+2.29vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.39+0.80vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-0.36vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.82-2.36vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.45+1.15vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.27+0.86vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.37+2.23vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-3.14vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.82+1.54vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-1.18vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.26-2.30vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.92-1.00vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-1.06-1.68vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-1.07-2.53vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University0.78-10.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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10.71Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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4.27Roger Williams University2.230.2%1st Place
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6.54Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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7.29Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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5.64Roger Williams University1.820.1%1st Place
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10.15Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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10.86Brown University0.270.0%1st Place
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13.23University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
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14.54Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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12.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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12.7University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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15.0University of Connecticut-0.920.0%1st Place
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15.32Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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15.47Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.64Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lech | 14.7% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 2.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Tristan McDonald | 18.3% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 12.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 14.3% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| James Frady | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| Alyson Liu | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 18.7% |
| Brett Tardie | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 24.0% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 23.5% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.