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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.30+6.09vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.23+2.33vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.45+7.35vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.82+1.48vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.35+5.93vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.48+0.40vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.14-2.47vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-1.16vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.39-2.31vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.27+0.84vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.82+3.75vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-3.13vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.37+0.02vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering-1.07+1.56vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.78-6.06vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.92-1.02vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-1.06-1.65vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-5.42vs Predicted
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19University of New Hampshire-0.26-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
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4.33Roger Williams University2.230.2%1st Place
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10.35Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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5.48Roger Williams University1.820.1%1st Place
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10.93Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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6.4Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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4.53Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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10.84Brown University0.270.0%1st Place
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14.75Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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15.56Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.94Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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14.98University of Connecticut-0.920.0%1st Place
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15.35Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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12.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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12.49University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rogelio Casellas | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tristan McDonald | 18.0% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Edward Herman | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Courtland Doyle | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 14.6% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 14.9% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 24.8% |
| Carter Anderson | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alyson Liu | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 18.2% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 24.6% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| James Frady | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.