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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.14+3.49vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.30+5.18vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.23+1.29vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.82+1.37vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.48+1.64vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.40+0.71vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.35+3.72vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.27+3.21vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.06+6.18vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-1.48vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.45-0.78vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.39-4.92vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.78-4.22vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.37-0.60vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.92-0.14vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-3.42vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.26-4.20vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.82-3.21vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering-1.07-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Boston College2.140.2%1st Place
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7.18Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
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4.29Roger Williams University2.230.2%1st Place
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5.37Roger Williams University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.64Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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10.72Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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11.21Brown University0.270.0%1st Place
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15.18Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
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10.22Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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8.78Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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13.4University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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14.86University of Connecticut-0.920.0%1st Place
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12.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.0%1st Place
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12.8University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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14.79Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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15.17Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lech | 15.8% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 18.5% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Herman | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Straden | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Brett Tardie | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 22.2% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte West | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 6.8% |
| Alyson Liu | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 21.2% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| James Frady | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 17.1% |
| Benjamin Ely | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.