Race 1A

greg-popp-erau

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joe Seiffert 16.3% 16.7% 17.7% 16.6% 13.5% 10.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Rylie Cataldo 2.4% 2.9% 2.7% 3.8% 5.2% 11.7% 14.1% 22.5% 24.3% 10.4%
Shay Bridge 18.5% 17.4% 18.7% 17.5% 16.1% 7.0% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Julian Larsen 4.9% 7.2% 8.9% 12.3% 16.7% 19.0% 15.8% 9.6% 4.2% 1.4%
Nathan Hjort 4.0% 5.3% 7.1% 8.6% 10.2% 15.4% 19.8% 17.6% 9.5% 2.5%
William Meade 3.0% 3.7% 3.1% 6.5% 7.0% 13.9% 18.0% 20.0% 17.4% 7.4%
Nate Bonham 31.3% 25.6% 19.5% 13.0% 6.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Josh Rosen 0.9% 1.8% 3.5% 3.7% 7.1% 9.9% 14.4% 18.5% 27.8% 12.4%
Darby Smith 18.5% 19.0% 18.1% 17.4% 15.6% 6.7% 3.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicolas Benavides 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.7% 3.5% 3.8% 7.2% 16.1% 65.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.