Race 2A

greg-popp-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nate Bonham 33.0% 26.1% 17.8% 11.7% 6.5% 2.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Joe Seiffert 14.5% 17.3% 17.7% 18.0% 14.7% 11.0% 4.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Nathan Hjort 4.3% 4.3% 7.0% 6.6% 11.2% 16.8% 19.6% 16.9% 10.8% 2.5%
Darby Smith 16.7% 19.4% 19.6% 17.7% 12.8% 8.3% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Josh Rosen 1.7% 3.1% 2.3% 4.7% 6.0% 8.7% 14.5% 18.1% 28.7% 12.2%
Shay Bridge 20.0% 18.4% 18.5% 17.4% 14.5% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Rylie Cataldo 1.7% 1.3% 2.9% 5.1% 6.4% 10.5% 17.1% 22.8% 22.9% 9.3%
Julian Larsen 5.7% 7.2% 8.9% 12.5% 16.7% 19.2% 14.1% 11.0% 3.9% 0.8%
William Meade 2.1% 2.5% 4.5% 5.9% 9.4% 12.4% 17.1% 20.3% 19.8% 6.0%
Nicolas Benavides 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 1.8% 3.3% 4.2% 6.8% 12.9% 69.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.