Race 3A

greg-popp-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nate Bonham 34.9% 24.2% 16.6% 12.5% 6.9% 3.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Darby Smith 17.7% 20.2% 18.1% 16.6% 14.0% 8.2% 3.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Shay Bridge 18.1% 18.5% 19.4% 18.9% 13.0% 8.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Joe Seiffert 14.2% 16.8% 19.4% 17.8% 15.5% 9.6% 4.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Nathan Hjort 3.9% 5.7% 7.5% 7.2% 10.9% 16.9% 20.4% 16.1% 8.5% 2.9%
Josh Rosen 2.0% 2.4% 3.0% 4.4% 4.6% 9.5% 13.7% 19.6% 26.8% 14.0%
Rylie Cataldo 1.4% 1.8% 2.7% 4.0% 7.5% 10.1% 16.9% 23.3% 22.8% 9.5%
Julian Larsen 5.2% 7.3% 8.7% 12.0% 18.1% 16.9% 15.5% 10.7% 5.1% 0.5%
William Meade 2.3% 2.5% 4.2% 5.9% 7.4% 15.0% 16.3% 20.1% 20.7% 5.6%
Nicolas Benavides 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 2.1% 2.4% 4.7% 6.5% 14.9% 67.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.