Race 4A

greg-popp-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nate Bonham 35.1% 22.2% 18.2% 12.3% 7.7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Joe Seiffert 15.7% 15.0% 18.6% 17.4% 15.7% 9.8% 5.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Darby Smith 16.3% 18.8% 20.7% 17.3% 13.8% 8.8% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Hjort 2.9% 5.0% 5.2% 9.1% 13.2% 17.7% 17.4% 17.1% 10.2% 2.2%
Julian Larsen 6.2% 8.5% 8.6% 9.9% 16.5% 18.9% 16.2% 10.2% 3.9% 1.1%
Rylie Cataldo 2.4% 3.0% 3.4% 4.3% 6.6% 10.0% 14.4% 20.5% 24.5% 10.9%
Josh Rosen 1.3% 1.6% 2.0% 4.9% 5.4% 7.8% 16.2% 22.2% 26.4% 12.2%
Shay Bridge 17.6% 22.8% 18.6% 18.9% 10.0% 7.4% 3.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
William Meade 2.3% 2.6% 4.1% 5.3% 9.2% 13.9% 17.3% 19.8% 19.6% 5.9%
Nicolas Benavides 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.9% 2.6% 4.4% 7.2% 14.4% 67.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.