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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.52vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.65+2.65vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+0.22vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+2.37vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.50+2.77vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.00vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.24+1.50vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.01-1.80vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.23+3.43vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.07-1.01vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.72-1.06vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University0.45-1.29vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-0.48+0.10vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-1.22+0.43vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.49-4.30vs Predicted
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16Ocean County College0.20-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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4.65Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
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3.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.2%1st Place
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6.37Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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7.77Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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4.0U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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8.5Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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6.2Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.43Monmouth University-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.99Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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9.94Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.71Rutgers University0.450.0%1st Place
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13.1Penn State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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14.43University of Delaware-1.220.0%1st Place
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10.7Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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11.47Ocean County College0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 20.9% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dan Ricker | 13.2% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 23.3% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| George Prieto | 15.9% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Celone | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Edward Titcomb | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Marciano | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 12.2% |
| Natalie Ross | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Jason Sinclair | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Edgar Girtain | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 4.2% |
| Brian Hulse | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 22.8% | 21.0% |
| Devon Gonzalez | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 17.7% | 51.3% |
| Autumn Hoover | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.