Race 5A

greg-popp-erau

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joe Seiffert 15.7% 17.2% 18.5% 15.8% 14.8% 9.0% 5.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Nate Bonham 32.1% 24.4% 20.0% 12.4% 7.0% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Julian Larsen 6.0% 6.3% 7.9% 11.4% 15.6% 19.5% 17.3% 10.2% 5.2% 0.6%
William Meade 1.8% 2.7% 3.3% 6.4% 8.7% 13.8% 16.7% 23.1% 18.2% 5.3%
Nathan Hjort 4.3% 5.7% 5.2% 9.1% 11.1% 16.3% 20.4% 15.0% 10.2% 2.7%
Rylie Cataldo 2.1% 3.2% 3.4% 4.1% 7.6% 9.1% 15.8% 19.3% 23.2% 12.2%
Shay Bridge 17.3% 20.8% 17.9% 19.8% 12.2% 7.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Josh Rosen 1.2% 2.1% 3.2% 4.1% 6.2% 9.8% 13.3% 20.6% 26.8% 12.7%
Darby Smith 19.2% 17.4% 20.0% 15.8% 14.7% 8.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicolas Benavides 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 2.1% 3.0% 3.7% 7.2% 15.4% 66.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.