Race 6A

greg-popp-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Meade 2.9% 3.4% 3.6% 5.0% 9.1% 13.4% 17.3% 19.9% 19.4% 6.0%
Darby Smith 17.3% 17.4% 19.7% 18.1% 13.7% 8.6% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Nate Bonham 30.5% 27.5% 17.2% 13.6% 6.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Rylie Cataldo 1.6% 2.2% 3.4% 3.0% 5.8% 12.2% 16.2% 23.1% 22.8% 9.7%
Julian Larsen 6.4% 8.0% 8.6% 10.8% 16.1% 19.2% 14.9% 9.3% 5.4% 1.3%
Joe Seiffert 18.1% 14.1% 16.9% 19.6% 14.3% 9.5% 4.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Shay Bridge 16.9% 20.7% 20.8% 16.3% 14.5% 6.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Nathan Hjort 3.7% 4.5% 6.7% 8.7% 11.9% 16.6% 19.2% 17.1% 9.5% 2.1%
Josh Rosen 2.4% 1.5% 2.5% 3.8% 6.2% 8.4% 15.6% 18.6% 28.5% 12.5%
Nicolas Benavides 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.7% 2.2% 4.0% 7.8% 13.3% 68.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.