Race 1B

greg-popp-erau

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Pappas 25.2% 19.3% 17.0% 13.9% 11.3% 7.1% 3.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Dawson Kohl 16.1% 17.0% 17.3% 15.6% 13.3% 11.2% 6.0% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Parker Thran 22.7% 20.4% 16.8% 15.5% 12.1% 7.0% 3.6% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Zechariah Frantz 4.9% 6.8% 9.0% 9.2% 12.3% 14.6% 19.3% 15.4% 6.8% 1.7%
Suhas Medidi 3.7% 4.0% 4.8% 5.7% 6.2% 8.8% 12.4% 25.6% 21.0% 7.8%
Mason Mattice 12.6% 10.8% 13.9% 13.7% 13.7% 12.9% 12.5% 6.7% 3.2% 0.0%
Jack Adderley 6.2% 9.2% 9.6% 12.0% 13.4% 15.3% 16.2% 11.8% 5.3% 1.0%
Charlie Eckert 6.9% 9.9% 9.6% 10.6% 12.6% 16.7% 15.2% 12.9% 4.6% 1.0%
Ryan Sarsen 0.9% 1.3% 1.1% 2.1% 2.8% 1.9% 6.4% 10.4% 30.1% 43.0%
Adrien Barnes 0.8% 1.3% 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 4.5% 4.5% 10.3% 28.3% 45.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.