Race 3B

greg-popp-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Pappas 25.4% 19.7% 16.0% 13.6% 12.0% 6.9% 3.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Parker Thran 24.0% 20.3% 17.8% 15.2% 10.5% 7.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Mason Mattice 10.7% 11.4% 11.6% 14.3% 14.5% 15.6% 11.8% 7.4% 2.5% 0.2%
Charlie Eckert 6.6% 8.1% 10.6% 11.0% 13.3% 16.3% 15.6% 12.3% 5.1% 1.1%
Suhas Medidi 3.3% 3.9% 4.8% 5.3% 6.1% 9.4% 13.5% 24.1% 21.4% 8.2%
Jack Adderley 8.3% 8.7% 9.3% 11.7% 13.9% 14.2% 16.1% 11.2% 4.9% 1.7%
Dawson Kohl 14.9% 18.8% 17.4% 17.8% 11.8% 9.5% 6.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Ryan Sarsen 0.6% 1.2% 1.8% 1.5% 2.1% 4.3% 6.3% 11.9% 29.2% 41.1%
Adrien Barnes 0.9% 0.8% 1.9% 1.2% 2.8% 2.7% 5.7% 11.4% 27.0% 45.6%
Zechariah Frantz 5.3% 7.1% 8.8% 8.4% 13.0% 13.9% 17.3% 15.6% 8.6% 2.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.