Race 4B

greg-popp-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dawson Kohl 18.2% 18.6% 17.3% 15.5% 12.6% 8.7% 5.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Thomas Pappas 22.3% 22.6% 16.9% 15.6% 11.2% 5.6% 3.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Ryan Sarsen 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 2.1% 2.3% 3.8% 6.1% 10.6% 30.0% 41.8%
Parker Thran 24.3% 21.8% 18.6% 14.1% 10.2% 7.2% 2.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Mason Mattice 12.0% 10.8% 14.2% 15.5% 15.2% 13.9% 10.8% 4.7% 2.4% 0.5%
Charlie Eckert 7.9% 8.8% 10.0% 11.3% 14.7% 15.7% 14.7% 10.5% 5.2% 1.2%
Suhas Medidi 2.5% 2.8% 4.1% 5.1% 7.5% 11.8% 15.7% 24.6% 17.4% 8.5%
Zechariah Frantz 6.0% 7.6% 9.3% 9.8% 10.9% 16.6% 18.7% 13.3% 6.4% 1.4%
Matthew Sexton 4.6% 5.4% 7.1% 9.1% 12.4% 12.9% 17.1% 18.9% 9.2% 3.3%
Adrien Barnes 1.1% 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 3.0% 3.8% 5.2% 12.2% 27.9% 43.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.