Race 5B

greg-popp-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dawson Kohl 19.4% 17.6% 17.0% 15.0% 12.0% 9.2% 5.3% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Matthew Sexton 6.2% 5.2% 6.3% 8.6% 9.3% 14.9% 17.5% 19.5% 9.7% 2.8%
Thomas Pappas 21.9% 19.9% 17.9% 15.8% 12.5% 7.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Mason Mattice 10.1% 13.1% 14.5% 15.0% 15.8% 12.9% 12.0% 4.4% 2.0% 0.2%
Zechariah Frantz 6.8% 7.9% 7.8% 9.8% 11.8% 16.4% 16.4% 15.1% 6.4% 1.6%
Suhas Medidi 3.9% 4.1% 4.7% 4.3% 7.0% 10.5% 14.7% 23.3% 20.8% 6.7%
Charlie Eckert 6.0% 8.6% 10.6% 13.2% 15.6% 16.4% 14.7% 9.3% 4.5% 1.1%
Parker Thran 24.3% 21.0% 18.4% 14.7% 11.1% 4.9% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.2%
Ryan Sarsen 0.8% 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 2.0% 3.1% 5.3% 12.7% 28.1% 43.0%
Adrien Barnes 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 4.5% 6.5% 10.0% 27.4% 44.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.