Race 6B

greg-popp-erau

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Parker Thran 24.8% 22.3% 17.8% 12.8% 10.6% 6.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Dawson Kohl 16.5% 19.6% 17.4% 15.0% 14.2% 8.4% 5.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Charlie Eckert 7.9% 7.8% 10.4% 10.5% 13.6% 18.1% 16.1% 10.7% 4.1% 0.8%
Thomas Pappas 22.4% 22.0% 17.9% 16.4% 11.2% 5.0% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Mason Mattice 12.2% 11.0% 14.2% 16.5% 14.2% 14.2% 9.9% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6%
Zechariah Frantz 6.9% 6.7% 9.1% 9.8% 11.9% 15.8% 14.6% 15.1% 8.3% 1.8%
Suhas Medidi 2.5% 2.6% 4.3% 5.9% 7.0% 9.8% 17.7% 23.0% 19.3% 7.9%
Matthew Sexton 4.5% 6.4% 7.0% 8.5% 11.6% 15.1% 16.5% 18.0% 9.8% 2.6%
Adrien Barnes 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 2.3% 2.4% 3.5% 6.7% 9.8% 29.0% 43.4%
Ryan Sarsen 1.2% 0.6% 1.1% 2.3% 3.3% 3.6% 5.6% 13.1% 26.4% 42.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.