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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.13+1.52vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.03+0.78vs Predicted
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3American University-1.20+1.92vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.64+1.98vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.56+0.80vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-3.08+3.19vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.14+0.03vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.03-5.22vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.78-2.80vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-2.54-2.08vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-5.59vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-3.37-2.21vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-3.79-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Drexel University0.130.3%1st Place
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2.78Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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4.92American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.98Princeton University-1.640.0%1st Place
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5.8University of Maryland-1.560.1%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
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7.03Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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2.78Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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6.2University of Delaware-1.780.1%1st Place
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7.92Rutgers University-2.540.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.1%1st Place
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9.79St. John's College-3.370.0%1st Place
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10.46Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Gurskis | 30.8% | 27.5% | 19.7% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 27.0% | 25.6% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 9.7% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lara Nielsen | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 24.4% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 27.0% | 25.6% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Servidio | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyson Hammer | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 16.8% | 26.4% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 12.1% | 19.9% | 47.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.