← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech-0.03+1.74vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech-0.03+0.74vs Predicted
-
3American University-1.20+1.95vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University0.13-1.50vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University-1.64+0.97vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland-1.56-0.20vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-1.47vs Predicted
-
8University of Delaware-1.78-1.81vs Predicted
-
9Catholic University of America-2.14-1.97vs Predicted
-
10Rutgers University-2.54-2.05vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Military Academy-3.08-1.91vs Predicted
-
12St. John's College-3.37-2.20vs Predicted
-
13Monmouth University-3.79-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.74Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
-
2.74Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
-
4.95American University-1.200.1%1st Place
-
2.5Drexel University0.130.3%1st Place
-
5.97Princeton University-1.640.1%1st Place
-
5.8University of Maryland-1.560.1%1st Place
-
5.53University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.1%1st Place
-
6.19University of Delaware-1.780.1%1st Place
-
7.03Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
-
7.95Rutgers University-2.540.0%1st Place
-
9.09U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
-
9.8St. John's College-3.370.0%1st Place
-
10.45Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 28.2% | 24.7% | 19.2% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 28.2% | 24.7% | 19.2% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 7.1% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 33.5% | 24.9% | 18.8% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lara Nielsen | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Servidio | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 21.0% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyson Hammer | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 16.9% | 25.0% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 11.7% | 22.3% | 45.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.