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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.84vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.56vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.65+1.67vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-0.74vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+1.29vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.07+3.00vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.50+0.81vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University0.45+2.63vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.01-2.69vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.22+4.44vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.72-0.98vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-0.48+1.08vs Predicted
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13Villanova University1.24-4.53vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.23-1.58vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.49-4.26vs Predicted
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16Ocean County College0.20-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84U. S. Naval Academy2.990.2%1st Place
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3.56University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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4.67Washington College2.650.1%1st Place
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3.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.2%1st Place
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6.29Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
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9.0Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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7.81Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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10.63Rutgers University0.450.0%1st Place
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6.31Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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14.44University of Delaware-1.220.0%1st Place
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10.02Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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13.08Penn State University-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.47Villanova University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.42Monmouth University-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.74Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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11.47Ocean County College0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Prieto | 17.6% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 21.3% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dan Ricker | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 23.0% | 20.5% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Geary | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ross | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Gene Merewether | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Edgar Girtain | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Edward Titcomb | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Devon Gonzalez | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 17.9% | 54.0% |
| Jason Sinclair | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Brian Hulse | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 25.1% | 20.1% |
| Sarah Celone | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Marciano | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 19.6% | 11.5% |
| Autumn Hoover | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.