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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+1.82vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.13+0.53vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-2.71+5.25vs Predicted
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4American University-1.20+1.11vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.03-2.18vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.78+0.16vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-1.31-1.75vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.14-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-1.14-4.28vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-1.64-5.04vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-3.08-3.32vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-3.79-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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2.53Drexel University0.130.3%1st Place
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8.25Rutgers University-2.710.0%1st Place
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5.11American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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2.82Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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6.16University of Delaware-1.780.1%1st Place
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5.25St. John's College-1.310.1%1st Place
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6.82Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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4.72University of Maryland-1.140.1%1st Place
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5.96Princeton University-1.640.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
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9.71Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 25.1% | 24.3% | 20.7% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 33.8% | 24.1% | 17.3% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nadine Rouba | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 19.9% | 23.6% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 25.1% | 24.3% | 20.7% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Servidio | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Silas Hodges | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 9.3% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 26.3% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 18.9% | 52.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.