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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-1.20+4.00vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.03+0.77vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.13-0.39vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.03-1.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-3.08+3.92vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.14-1.15vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.64-1.12vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.14-1.19vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-2.71-0.94vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-1.31-4.69vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-3.79-3.27vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-1.78-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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2.77Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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2.61Drexel University0.130.3%1st Place
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2.77Virginia Tech-0.030.3%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
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4.85University of Maryland-1.140.1%1st Place
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5.88Princeton University-1.640.1%1st Place
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6.81Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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8.06Rutgers University-2.710.0%1st Place
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5.31St. John's College-1.310.1%1st Place
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9.73Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
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6.06University of Delaware-1.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cottage | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 29.3% | 22.8% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 29.1% | 27.6% | 18.6% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 29.3% | 22.8% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarra Salah | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 15.1% | 30.6% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Nadine Rouba | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 22.9% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Silas Hodges | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 18.4% | 53.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Servidio | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.