Race 6A

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
James Cottage 8.7% 9.8% 12.2% 13.9% 15.7% 13.5% 10.3% 8.3% 4.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Bender 27.2% 26.4% 19.1% 12.5% 8.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Aidan Gurskis 33.6% 26.6% 16.6% 11.7% 6.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lara Nielsen 4.9% 7.4% 9.7% 13.5% 12.1% 11.2% 16.7% 10.2% 7.7% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Johnny Leadingham 5.7% 6.1% 9.2% 12.2% 11.9% 12.7% 13.5% 10.4% 9.1% 6.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Sarra Salah 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 3.5% 3.6% 5.6% 5.4% 10.3% 12.3% 22.5% 21.8% 10.4% 0.0%
Zachary Bender 27.2% 26.4% 19.1% 12.5% 8.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Powell 6.9% 8.7% 12.3% 12.3% 13.7% 12.2% 12.1% 9.8% 7.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
John Anthony Caraig 4.0% 4.2% 7.2% 6.3% 8.9% 11.0% 11.5% 13.7% 14.6% 11.1% 6.2% 1.3% 0.0%
Vaughn Lynch 2.0% 3.0% 3.4% 4.9% 7.0% 10.4% 9.7% 12.8% 18.7% 16.8% 9.2% 2.1% 0.0%
Mia Graziano 4.3% 5.2% 6.2% 7.4% 9.7% 11.7% 13.1% 15.3% 13.7% 8.8% 3.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Cheyenne Fair 0.9% 0.6% 1.3% 1.2% 1.8% 2.3% 2.9% 4.9% 7.1% 13.0% 32.2% 31.8% 0.0%
August Bellanca 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 0.6% 0.7% 2.5% 1.7% 3.4% 4.6% 9.6% 22.0% 52.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.