Race 7A

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Powell 6.0% 8.3% 9.8% 11.1% 12.3% 13.8% 13.5% 11.1% 7.5% 4.6% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Zachary Bender 26.1% 25.9% 19.1% 12.2% 9.5% 4.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Aidan Gurskis 32.9% 24.9% 17.5% 13.8% 5.6% 3.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Bender 26.1% 25.9% 19.1% 12.2% 9.5% 4.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Cottage 8.0% 9.3% 12.9% 14.1% 14.8% 12.6% 12.1% 7.2% 6.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Mia Graziano 4.0% 4.3% 5.0% 8.9% 9.4% 11.5% 13.4% 12.2% 11.7% 11.3% 6.8% 1.5% 0.0%
Johnny Leadingham 5.6% 5.8% 9.6% 9.5% 12.0% 12.6% 13.6% 12.7% 9.4% 6.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Nadine Rouba 2.0% 2.9% 3.1% 4.2% 4.8% 7.3% 8.4% 12.3% 14.2% 17.2% 15.8% 7.8% 0.0%
John Anthony Caraig 4.0% 4.1% 5.9% 6.2% 9.9% 11.2% 9.7% 12.5% 16.4% 11.2% 6.1% 2.8% 0.0%
Sarra Salah 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 1.8% 4.1% 4.8% 7.5% 10.9% 13.9% 17.9% 20.0% 14.5% 0.0%
Anthony Thonnard 8.5% 11.6% 12.2% 14.7% 14.3% 12.6% 11.0% 7.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Tyson Hammer 1.4% 0.8% 1.7% 1.5% 2.3% 2.8% 5.1% 7.8% 10.0% 15.9% 23.6% 27.1% 0.0%
Cheyenne Fair 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 2.0% 1.0% 3.0% 2.8% 4.0% 5.4% 12.2% 22.5% 44.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.