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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+1.93vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.13+0.63vs Predicted
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3American University-1.20+2.15vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.03-1.07vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.87-0.52vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.14-1.00vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-1.34vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.14-0.82vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.03-2.03vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-3.37-0.28vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-3.79-0.60vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-3.08-2.67vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-2.71-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Virginia Tech-0.030.2%1st Place
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2.63Drexel University0.130.3%1st Place
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5.15American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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2.93Virginia Tech-0.030.2%1st Place
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4.48Princeton University-0.870.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Maryland-1.140.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.1%1st Place
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7.18Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Delaware-2.030.0%1st Place
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9.72St. John's College-3.370.0%1st Place
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10.4Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
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8.55Rutgers University-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 23.6% | 24.0% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 31.9% | 24.0% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 9.2% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 23.6% | 24.0% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 9.3% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 8.6% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Mia Graziano | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyson Hammer | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 25.9% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 19.2% | 45.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 20.1% | 20.9% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Nadine Rouba | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.