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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+5.24vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.13+0.88vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.03+0.15vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-2.14+3.87vs Predicted
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5American University-1.20+0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.73+0.89vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.03-3.85vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.87-3.22vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-1.31-3.19vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-1.14-4.61vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-2.54-2.33vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-3.08-2.19vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-3.79-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.1%1st Place
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2.88Drexel University0.130.3%1st Place
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3.15Virginia Tech-0.030.2%1st Place
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7.87Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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5.66American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Delaware-1.730.0%1st Place
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3.15Virginia Tech-0.030.2%1st Place
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4.78Princeton University-0.870.1%1st Place
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5.81St. John's College-1.310.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Maryland-1.140.1%1st Place
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8.67Rutgers University-2.540.0%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
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10.85Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Powell | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 26.6% | 24.5% | 18.6% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 23.9% | 21.5% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Koly | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 23.9% | 21.5% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Silas Hodges | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 21.3% | 19.9% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 28.0% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 19.6% | 57.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.