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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+2.16vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.13+0.88vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.87+1.85vs Predicted
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4American University-1.20+1.65vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.03-1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+0.20vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-1.31-1.08vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.73-1.21vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-2.54-0.38vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-2.14-2.21vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-1.14-5.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-3.08-2.15vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-3.79-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Virginia Tech-0.030.2%1st Place
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2.88Drexel University0.130.3%1st Place
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4.85Princeton University-0.870.1%1st Place
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5.65American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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3.16Virginia Tech-0.030.2%1st Place
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6.2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.1%1st Place
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5.92St. John's College-1.310.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Delaware-1.730.0%1st Place
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8.62Rutgers University-2.540.0%1st Place
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7.79Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Maryland-1.140.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
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10.86Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 23.0% | 21.4% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 28.1% | 24.3% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 11.0% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 23.0% | 21.4% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Silas Hodges | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Koly | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Vaughn Lynch | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 20.2% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 30.8% | 24.8% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 20.6% | 57.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.