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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.03+1.98vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.13+0.68vs Predicted
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3American University-1.20+2.19vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+1.72vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-2.71+3.41vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.03-3.02vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.14+0.24vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-1.14-3.03vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.73-2.74vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.87-5.62vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.08-1.98vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-3.79-1.70vs Predicted
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13St. John's College-4.22-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Virginia Tech-0.030.2%1st Place
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2.68Drexel University0.130.3%1st Place
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5.19American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.1%1st Place
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8.41Rutgers University-2.710.0%1st Place
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2.98Virginia Tech-0.030.2%1st Place
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7.24Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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4.97University of Maryland-1.140.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Delaware-1.730.1%1st Place
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4.38Princeton University-0.870.1%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
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10.3Monmouth University-3.790.0%1st Place
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10.84St. John's College-4.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 24.1% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 30.7% | 25.3% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nadine Rouba | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 21.9% | 13.9% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bender | 24.1% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Koly | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 10.0% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.2% | 0.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 16.5% | 22.6% | 21.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 17.0% | 30.3% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
| August Bellanca | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 23.2% | 52.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.