Race 12A

mccurdy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Zachary Bender 25.6% 21.6% 20.0% 15.0% 8.4% 4.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Cottage 6.8% 8.7% 13.1% 11.9% 13.8% 12.8% 13.9% 10.5% 5.1% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Lorenzen 11.7% 12.4% 13.9% 14.7% 14.2% 12.3% 10.3% 6.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Aidan Gurskis 30.9% 25.4% 16.7% 12.6% 7.3% 4.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anthony Thonnard 8.4% 9.5% 11.0% 12.2% 14.6% 12.1% 13.7% 8.2% 7.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Bender 25.6% 21.6% 20.0% 15.0% 8.4% 4.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Powell 6.2% 8.1% 8.2% 9.9% 11.4% 13.6% 14.4% 13.6% 9.0% 4.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
John Anthony Caraig 3.1% 4.8% 4.2% 5.7% 7.2% 11.7% 10.6% 15.5% 16.3% 12.9% 6.3% 1.7% 0.0%
Cheyenne Fair 0.3% 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 2.2% 2.4% 4.1% 5.0% 8.2% 14.7% 29.6% 30.4% 0.0%
Benjamin Koly 3.6% 5.4% 6.7% 10.0% 11.6% 15.4% 13.0% 14.1% 11.5% 6.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Sarra Salah 0.9% 1.9% 2.5% 2.8% 3.2% 3.3% 6.8% 10.0% 14.8% 22.9% 21.8% 9.1% 0.0%
Nadine Rouba 2.1% 1.5% 2.0% 3.0% 4.5% 6.0% 7.6% 11.4% 19.3% 20.7% 16.3% 5.6% 0.0%
August Bellanca 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.6% 1.1% 1.6% 3.2% 4.8% 10.7% 22.3% 52.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.