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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Delaware-1.17+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+4.27vs Predicted
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3American University-2.08+2.36vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-2.23+1.69vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-3.64+4.18vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.92-1.05vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-1.24-3.60vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-2.34-2.08vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-3.23-0.79vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-2.85-2.73vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-3.87-1.20vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-3.36-3.41vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-2.23-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of Delaware-1.170.2%1st Place
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6.27University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
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5.36American University-2.080.1%1st Place
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5.69Virginia Tech-2.230.1%1st Place
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9.18Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
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4.95Princeton University-1.920.1%1st Place
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3.4Drexel University-1.240.2%1st Place
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5.92Rutgers University-2.340.1%1st Place
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8.21Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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7.27University of Maryland-2.850.1%1st Place
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9.8St. John's College-3.870.0%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
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5.69Virginia Tech-2.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Coffill | 21.8% | 20.6% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Lance Shrum | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Evangeline Barras | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 19.7% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Cole Crosby | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 21.8% | 21.9% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Karolina Debniak | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Julia Marich | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Naitik Gupta | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Walker | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 35.7% | 0.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Evangeline Barras | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.