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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-2.08+4.45vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-1.17+1.28vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+3.29vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-2.23+1.70vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.24-1.52vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-3.64+3.21vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-2.23-1.30vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-1.92-3.15vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-3.36-0.54vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-2.85-2.80vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-3.87-1.35vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-2.34-5.85vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-3.23-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45American University-2.080.1%1st Place
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3.28University of Delaware-1.170.2%1st Place
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6.29University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
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5.7Virginia Tech-2.230.1%1st Place
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3.48Drexel University-1.240.2%1st Place
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9.21Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
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5.7Virginia Tech-2.230.1%1st Place
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4.85Princeton University-1.920.1%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
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9.65St. John's College-3.870.0%1st Place
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6.15Rutgers University-2.340.1%1st Place
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8.27Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Shrum | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Coffill | 22.0% | 21.4% | 18.7% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Evangeline Barras | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 22.9% | 19.3% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 20.3% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
| Evangeline Barras | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Cole Crosby | 12.4% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Naitik Gupta | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Walker | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 20.9% | 34.5% | 0.0% |
| Karolina Debniak | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Marich | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.