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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-2.71+5.51vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-1.24+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-2.31+2.43vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-2.96+3.20vs Predicted
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5American University-2.08-0.14vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-3.23+1.93vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-2.89-0.11vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-1.92-3.60vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-2.71-2.49vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-3.36-1.91vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America-3.64-2.15vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-3.61-3.00vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Virginia Tech-2.710.1%1st Place
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3.04Drexel University-1.240.3%1st Place
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5.43University of Maryland-2.310.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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4.86American University-2.080.1%1st Place
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7.93Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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6.89Rutgers University-2.890.1%1st Place
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4.4Princeton University-1.920.2%1st Place
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6.51Virginia Tech-2.710.1%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
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8.85Catholic University of America-3.640.0%1st Place
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9.0St. John's College-3.610.0%1st Place
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5.8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Morrison | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 26.8% | 23.0% | 18.7% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan van Riper | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Lance Shrum | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Marich | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Mignone | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Cole Crosby | 16.3% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Morrison | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| Reagan Bottomley | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.